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فرم ها

پیش بینی موفقیت باشگاه‌های فوتبال در لیگ قهرمانان آسیا

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 استادیار مدیریت ورزشی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد ملارد، تهران، ایران

2 استادیار مدیریت ورزشی، دانشکده تربیت بدنی و علوم ورزشی، واحد کرج، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، کرج، ایران

3 دانشجوی دکتری مدیریت ورزشی دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد کرج، البرز، ایران

10.22124/jsmd.2021.18265.2456

چکیده

هدف: در ورزش حرفه‌ای پیش‌بینی عوامل موفقیت بسیار حیاتی و مهم است و همیشه مورد سوال است. عدم موفقیت تیم‌ها در لیگ‌ها به عنوان یک مسئله همیشگی و پیشرفت و کسب مقام به عنوان یک چالش برای همه باشگاه‌ها مطرح بوده است؛ بنابراین، هدف این پژوهش پیش‌بینی موفقیت باشگاه‌های فوتبال در لیگ قهرمانان آسیا است.
روش‌شناسی: پژوهش حاضر توصیفی از نوع توصیفی‌- همبستگی است. هفت کشور آسیایی که سابقه قهرمانی در لیگ قهرمانان آسیا را داشته اند، مورد تجزیه و تحلیل قرار گرفتند. نتایج لیگ قهرمانان باشگاه‌های آسیا بین سال‌های 2014 تا 2019 بررسی شد. در سطح آمار توصیفی از میانگین و انحراف معیار و در سطح آمار استنباطی، به دلیل اینکه متغیر پاسخ (موفقیت) یک متغیر کیفی بود، از مدل رگرسیون لجستیک استفاده شد. تجزیه و تحلیل داده‌ها با استفاده از نرم‌افزار SPSS صورت گرفت.
یافته‌ها: یافته‌ها نشان داد 80 درصد از موفقیت باشگاه‌ها در لیگ قهرمانان آسیا با استفاده از مدل پژوهش درست پیش‌بینی ‌شده است و بازیکنان خارجی، میانگین ارزش هر بازیکن، مجموع ارزش باشگاه و تعداد بازیکنان یک تیم تاثیر مثبتی بر موفقیت باشگاه‌های فوتبال در لیگ قهرمانان آسیا دارند و سن بازیکنان تاثیر منفی دارد، به عبارت بهتر میانگین سنی پایین‌تر می‌تواند به موفقیت باشگاه‌های فوتبال در لیگ قهرمانان آسیا کمک نماید.
نتیجه‌گیری: بنابراین این عوامل به عنوان مزیت نسبی برای موفقیت باشگاه‌ها محسوب می‌گردند و به مدیران و دست­اندرکاران پیشنهاد می‌شود برنامه‌ریزی و سرمایه‌گذاری لازم را برای تحقق این موارد در دستور کار خود قرار دهند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Forecasting Success of football Clubs in the Asian Champions League

نویسندگان [English]

  • behzad soheili 1
  • Hossein Abdolmaleki 2
  • mehdi babaei 3

1 Assistant Professor in Sport Management, Islamic Azad University, Malard Branch, Tehran, Iran

2 Assistant professor of sport management, Karaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Karaj, Iran

3 Ph.D of Student, Islamic Azad University, Karaj Branch, Alborz, Iran

چکیده [English]

Objective: In professional sports, predicting factors of success is very vital and important and is always in question. The failure of teams in the leagues has been a constant issue and progress and gaining status has been a challenge for all clubs; Therefore, the purpose of this study was predicting the success of football clubs in the Asian Champions League.
Methodology: The present study is descriptive-correlational. Seven Asian countries that won the AFC Champions League between 2014 and 2019 were analyzed. At the level of descriptive statistics, mean and standard deviation, and at the level of inferential statistics, because the response variable (success) was a qualitative variable, the logistic regression model was used. Data analysis was performed using SPSS software.
Results: Findings showed that 80% of the success of clubs in the AFC Champions League is correctly identified using the research model and foreign players, the average value of each player, the total value of the club and the number of players in a team have a positive impact on the success of football clubs in the AFC Champions League. And the age of the players has a negative effect, in other words, the lower average age can contribute to the success of football clubs in the AFC Champions League.
Conclusion: Therefore, these factors are considered as a comparative advantage for the success of clubs and managers and stakeholders are suggested to put the necessary planning and investment on their agenda to achieve these things.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Value of Clubs
  • Players
  • Football
  • Champions League
  • Success
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مدیریت و توسعه ورزش
دوره 13، شماره 1 - شماره پیاپی 37
اردیبهشت 1403
صفحه 213-233
فایل ها
سابقه مقاله
  • تاریخ دریافت: 11 آذر 1399
  • تاریخ بازنگری: 20 شهریور 1400
  • تاریخ پذیرش: 23 شهریور 1400
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