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Scenario Planning of University Sports of Iran based on Future Study Approach

    Authors

    1 Assistant Professor, Department of Management and Accounting, College of Farabi, University of Tehran, Qom, Iran

    2 Associate Professor, Department of Economics and Management, University of Qom, Qom, Iran

    3 Assistant Professor, College of Farabi, University of Tehran, Iran

    4 MSc of Industrial Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran

,

Document Type : Research Paper

Abstract

Objective: The main goal of this research is Future Studies of University Sports of Iran
Methodology: In this study, using two future research methods including structural analysis and scenario writing, we first identified the key uncertainties of University Sports of Iran and then developed future scenarios for University Sports of Iran. Initial data were collected using interviews with Collegiate athleticsexperts and reviewing the literature. The questionnaire was analyzed by using the Mic-Mac software.
Results: Of the seventeen effective factors, ten important factors were identified and by analyzing the Mic-Mac software, finally, two key factors of financial, economic and lifestyle support were identified. Based on these factors, four scenarios were identified using the Wizard scenario software and Cross Impact Matrix. These scenarios include the age of happiness, the world of indifference, the lazy world and the depressed world.
Conclusion: In the age of happiness scenario, which shows the best situation, high financial support and a good lifestyle lead to a good future for college sports. The depressed world scenario also illustrates the worst situation in which underfunding, inadequate infrastructure, and lack of culture for a dynamic life style lead youth and students to not exercising. By identifying the best and most desirable future, current programs can drive that realization.
 

Keywords

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Sport Management and Development
Volume 9, Issue 3 - Serial Number 23
March 2020
Pages 72-92
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