sara jorkesh; rasool nazari
Abstract
Objective: considering the rapid growth of elderly society and changes in population pyramid in our country, prospecting based on elders’ demands, as a vulnerable group of society, is required to be taken into account. This article discusses the Codification of Influential Factor Scenarios for ...
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Objective: considering the rapid growth of elderly society and changes in population pyramid in our country, prospecting based on elders’ demands, as a vulnerable group of society, is required to be taken into account. This article discusses the Codification of Influential Factor Scenarios for Iranian Elderly Sport. Methodology: the present applied study is based on future study method. Data is collected through two ways of librarian and questionnaire methods. Implementing Micmac software and Scenario Wizard for data analysis, we took benefit of questionnaire in matrix form of mutual effects and examined experts and specialists' opinions. Results: in order to codify the scenario, six influential factors with determining uncertain statues in questionnaire were entered into Scenario Wizard; in addition, two forthcoming scenario for Iranian elderly sport were determined. Conclusion: Progressive scenario, although there is a high expectation of the occurrence of favorable conditions in old age sports, on the other hand, does not expect the occurrence of a deterrent scenario to be far-reaching.
