fereshte adib roshan; hosein peymani zad; mehdi talebpour; Ali Asghar pourazzat
Abstract
Objective: This study is a prospective study considering its vision. The aim is to open up more interaction and planning for the current youth of Iran who will older in 2050. Hoping to create and rewrite images more favorably than identified in this study. Methodology: In order to identify these images, ...
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Objective: This study is a prospective study considering its vision. The aim is to open up more interaction and planning for the current youth of Iran who will older in 2050. Hoping to create and rewrite images more favorably than identified in this study. Methodology: In order to identify these images, the qualitative approach and the data theory approach were used. In this regard, deep interviews were conducted with 20 experts in the fields of sports science, futurology and demography to identify key images with the emphasis being expert in older people field. Results: In the first step of the research, 37 codes were extracted from the 181 codes received from the interviews, in the central coding stage, the codes extracted in the previous phase were in the form of 7 codes, and finally in the selective coding stage, emergence of new and dynamic, healthy and dynamic bodies and enterprises, dynamic relationships, and dynamic economics were identified as selective codes and future images of the field of age. Conclusion: According to the results of the study, it seems that having exercise in the minds of Iranian youth in 2020 and understanding and paying attention to the images provided for 2050 olders images enables them to understand their future prospects and appropriate response to these conditions can take into account the active and dynamic image of the olders with regard to the socio-economic images of the elderly.
fereshte adib roshan; Mehdi Talebpour; hosein peymanizad
Abstract
Objective: This research discusses future development of elite sports based on national perspective by using strategic management approaches relying on scenario– based planning models. Methodology: In this study has been used cross– impact analysis, and scenario-base planning have offered ...
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Objective: This research discusses future development of elite sports based on national perspective by using strategic management approaches relying on scenario– based planning models. Methodology: In this study has been used cross– impact analysis, and scenario-base planning have offered flexible and Comprehensive planning combination in proposing new style in foresight of sports development. Among used innovations, employing of Micmac and Scenario wizard software to cross– impact analysis and creating scenario carts can be mentioned. Results: In order to realize the research goals based on drawing the stable guideline of elite sports, first, by monitoring the literature and by using Panel of experts, proceeding forces having an impact on developing championship sports have been derivated. Then. After verification of their validity and durability by experts, in ponded sessions applying structured analysis matrix other has been assessed. Finally, using two key factors, with properties like having impact and uncertainlyEffectiveness and impact, the scenario logic is designed and finds scenarios is represented. The result of analyzing factor, derivation of two key factors including backing up of financial supporters and scenarios called "sprint", “relay race”, “high jumping” and “water pit”, than alternative position of them was determined. Conclusion: Finally, regarding the scenarios extracted, it is suggested that in the current chaotic and competitive situation, Youth and Sports General Directorate of Khorasan Razavi make long term plans and focus on foresight patterns. Besides, it should be conscious about the likelihood of each scenario by thorough and continuous environmental scanning and capture a comprehensive knowledge of the future by investigating and evaluating each of its strategies in case of happening each scenario and if necessary, it should formulate and replace new strategies
